Harvard Survey Shows Good News for Republicans in 2014

The Democrats are facing an uphill battle this year with voters, particularly young people. According to a survey released by the Harvard Institute of Politics, Millennials (18-29 year olds) who self-identify as Republican are more likely to vote in the upcoming midterm elections.

Less than one-in-four (23%) young Americans under the age of 30 say that they will “definitely be voting” in the fall, a sharp decrease of 11 percentage points since November 2013 IOP polling (34%) and eight percentage points lower than seen during a similar time period prior to the 2010 midterm elections (31%: Feb. 2010). In addition, traditional Republican constituencies seem to be showing more enthusiasm than Democratic ones for participating in the upcoming midterm elections and are statistically more likely to say they will “definitely be voting.” For example, 44 percent of those who voted for Mitt Romney in 2012 say they will “definitely be voting,” a statistically significant difference compared to the 35 percent of 2012 Barack Obama voters who say the same. Additionally, self-identified conservatives (32%) are 10 points more likely to vote than liberals (22%); men (28%) are 9 points more likely to vote than women (19%); and young Whites (27%) are more likely to vote than African Americans (19%) and Hispanics (19%).

The survey also found that individuals between the ages of 18-24 are becoming less Democratic and more Republican. Back in 2010, 38% of participants called themselves Democrats whereas now only 35% identify as Democrats. On the flip side, in 2010, 23% called themselves Republicans whereas now the number has ticked up to 25%. 

Raffi Williams, RNC Spokesman commented on the findings of the study saying,

“Millennials are fleeing the Democrat Party because President Obama and his cronies don’t stand up for them. Young adults are stuck in neutral, living in their parents basement, without a job and with mountains of student debt, because President Obama’s economic policies haven’t helped them. So it isn’t surprising that Millennials are embracing the Republicans pro-growth, pro-jobs agenda that will put their lives back in drive.”

Hopefully these findings will translate to votes and positive turnout for the GOP in the upcoming elections.

Wayne Dupree

Wayne Dupree is owner and founder of WayneDupree.com. He was named to the 2017 Newsmax’s 50 Most Influential African-American Republicans. He served in the USAF between 1987-1995. He saw time in Operation Desert Storm/Shield and is the father of three. He is the host of the Wayne Dupree Show.

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